Luka Doncic Scouting Report

Luka Doncic – G/F

Scouting report for Luka Doncic

*Scouting videos at bottom of page*

**NOTE, SYNERGY NUMBERS USED IN ANALYSIS ARE FROM LEAGUE PLAY. I PUT IN BOTH FIBA AND SYNERGY CHARTS BELOW**

Unofficial Measurements (against AVG SF below):  

Height (in sneakers) Weight Standing Reach Wingspan
6’8 228 N/A N/A
+.25 +10 N/A N/A

Athleticism & Frame:

  • Not an explosive athlete
  • Not particularly long, but appears to have a + wingspan
  • Solid strength now, and this is without an NBA training program. Should continue to get stronger once he gets to the NBA.
  • Good hands

Summary:

  • Best SG prospect I’ve scouted entering the draft since Brandon Roy, and best international prospect I’ve ever scouted. This does not mean he will be the best in the league, but he comes in the most NBA ready with a huge tool set.
    • His IQ is what really sets him apart.
    • He sees the game more than one step ahead of the aciton on the court.
  • He’s a winner who has won at every level he’s played at. Been playing professionally for a few years already.
  • Gets fired up after big plays, pumps up his teammate and interacts with his coaches and teammates really well.
  • Unbelievable vision
    • Sees whole court and can make every pass in book
      • This can lead to some questionable passes that he should not be making because he sees the opening and knows he can make it…but it’s a tight hole, and he can forces it anyway.
    • Excellent passer with great touch
    • He’s a legitimate point guard on the floor and the entire offense can be run through him. During the 2017 Eurobasket tournament, Slovenia’s offense was run through Luka and Dragic. Depending on where he’s drafted, I’m hoping to see the coach utilize him in a similar way with another scoring guard in a two-pronged attack (at least for stretches of games).
  • Uses screens really well
  • Great body control on drives and in paint
    • Not the best athlete, but he’s smooth and his body control helps him use his soft touch and angles to score in the paint.
  • More of a scorer who can beat you in many areas vs a clear cut shooter
    • Can improve shot (inconsistent right now), but is a good shooter. Numbers look worse than they are due to him creating most of his shots for himself, including a high number of step backs from three (where he creates a lot of separation).
    • Post up, iso, catch and shoot, dribble jumpers, etc. He can beat you anywhere on court scoring the ball. Scoring versatility is scary.
  • Solid team defender, but needs work closing out and in isolation
    • Lack of elite burst hurts him here
    • Does not have great footwork on perimeter and does not put effort into closing out
    • Gets hung up in screens and does not actively try to get over them.

 Stats:

Year PPG RPG APG FG% FT% BLK/STL TS%
17-18 14.47 5.27 4.55 45 79.6 .38/1.12 59.5

 

Offense:

Scoring

Euroleague Season Synergy stats (Percentile ranking): 70th percentile overall

Spot up/off ball (including drives) Catch & Shoot (guarded/unguarded) Iso Transition PnR Around Basket Post up
82 47 (67/29) 44 83 92 64 52

FIBA Season Synergy stats (Percentile ranking): 91st percentile overall

Spot up (including drives) Catch & Shoot (guarded/unguarded) Iso Transition PnR Around Basket
98 76 (88/41) 68 68 86 98

 

  • Off ball
    • Good catch and shoot scorer, but results are inconsistent (odd his guarded % is so much higher than unguarded).
      • Can be fixed with more reps
      • Form is smooth with no inconsistencies that need to be fixed
    • Can catch, rip through and drive to rim or into a dribble jumper (74th percentile in league)
      • Beautiful runner with great touch (95th percentile in league)
    • Unselfish and will make the next pass to get a better look
    • Comfortable off screens (90th percentile)
      • Gets feet set quickly, and release stays consistent
  • ISO
    • Comfortable in ISO situations.
    • Even though he will not attack off dribble often and beat his man because of lack of elite first step, he lulls the defender to sleep with his handle and is able to get by like that
    • Big fan of the step back jumper from mid-range and three
    • Has a good dribble jumper (74th percentile in league)
      • That said, takes too many dribble jumpers
  • Transition
    • Great in transition
    • Can fill lane or play on side as spacer / running floor
    • Comfortable pulling up for a three, or attacking the rim
    • Can grab and go because of size / good rebounding ability
    • 29% foul rate in transition
  • Excellent in PnR overall (92nd percentile in league play)
    • As scorer, he was in the 84th percentile in league play
    • Does nice job using the screen and either “snaking” it to make sure he gets the switch and attacking from there, or pulling up if the defender gives him space (going under or otherwise)
    • Might settle for his jumper a little too much (due to lack of quickness?)
  • Good post game
    • Has variety of moves including drop steps and fadeaways
    • Loves the fade
    • Uses size well to beat on smaller defenders
  • Excellent touch around basket (64th percentile in league play, 98th in FIBA)
    • Not explosive around the rim, but has great touch, body control, and uses angles and his body well
      • Great use of floaters in paint (95th percentile in league play)
      • Uses his body to shield the ball and his shot from defenders
      • Can take contact and finish through it
  • Not really a major offensive rebounder. More perimeter oriented.
  • Nice job getting to the FT line. Knows how to create contact and, maybe more importantly, exaggerate it.

Passing and Handle:

Year Assists Turnover
17-18 4.55 2.14

 

  • Primary creator or secondary creator. I personally prefer the ball in his hands creating, but his shot and off ball ability makes him a threat off ball as well.
    • Can do both at an incredibly high level
  • Handle
    • Good handle
      • Nice mix of dribble moves, change of pace moves, and uses his body to shield defender when necessary
      • However, it can get a little loose at times…but not enough for it to be a cause for concern
  • Passing
    • Unbelievable passer
      • Really sees the court well everywhere on the court
      • Uses his height, and great vision to its fullest effect
      • Really makes the defense focus on everything that is happening on the court because he can make every pass
      • His height and touch let him get off nearly every pass he wants to make, and he is really profficient at cross court hook passes to the opposite corners.
    • Exceptional in PnR as a passer (90th percentile in League play), and can see the roll man, cutters, and spot ups
      • As I mentioned before, his playmaking ability is rare.
      • Sees the court multiple steps ahead of where it currently is.
    • Risky passes
      • He has unbelievable vision, but this leads to some careless turnovers
        • He makes unnecessary passes on occasion
        • Sometimes does not give it to the easier pass and tries to get the ball in to the tighter space. He sees the opening, and knows he can get it in there, but some passes should not be made.
        • Should be fixable with some coaching

 

Defense and Rebounding: 19th percentile overall in League play

Spot Up PnR Ball Handler Post up Isolation Around Rim Off screen
20 22 31 57 51 29

Defense and Rebounding: 30th percentile overall in FIBA

Spot Up PnR Ball Handler Post up Around Rim
47 15 15 25


Defensive Rebounding

  • Good rebounder for his size
  • Even with his limited athleticism, he positions himself well and goes after the ball
  • Uses his strength pretty well on the glass when he needs to
  • Can grab and go to start the transition and, if he is able to play some small ball 4 which I think he will be, he’ll be doing this more.
  • Rebounding should translate in the NBA, but it is something to look out for because of his limited vertical explosiveness. This is where his IQ and positioning will come into play.

Defense

  • Solid team defender, but needs work elsewhere
    • When he is on weak side, he does a nice job “2-9ing the floor”
    • Does solid job watching ball and man, but does not get back out to contest when he was in help mode and the ball goes to his man
    • Rotates well in help defense (high IQ in team concept)
  • Not quick laterally and gets exposed in space
    • Has issues keeping up with guys running off screen
  • Despite his size, he gets pushed around too easily in the post
    • Little push back, not physical enough
    • Far too upright in stance. Lower position win, and he’s very upright in post
  • Lazy closing out
    • Does not really get out to shooters
    • Late close outs, lazy closeouts with hands at half-mast instead of actually contesting
    • Can get blown by off ball because he opens up too much when he does get out
      • Footwork needs improvement
  • PnR defense needs work
    • Jumps screen, getting off balance and giving ball handler angle to get to his spot
    • Gets held up in screens (which also explains the 29th percentile in off screen situations in league play)

 

Strength Collaboration with Frankie Vision

 

Weaknesses Collaboration with Frankie Vision

One thought on “Luka Doncic Scouting Report”

  1. Nice analysis, loved both videos but I prefer the Weaknesses one as I’m quite heavily biased (being from Slovenia) and most things in that video are just sooo easy to ignore for me.

    I’ve been following him on and off since he was still a kid (well, he still is), they kept pushing him against bigger and better all the time and he always came out on top somehow.

    But I can’t help but wonder how he’s gonna do in the NBA. My bias tells me he’s rookie of the year and all-star in a few years, but he’s been playing almost non-stop for 2 full seasons (Spanish ACB league/Cup, EuroLeague), replacing the break with EuroBasket preparations and tournament with Slovenia. Only some 25 minutes / game, but still. Maybe 1 month of full rest. Going to the NBA, his season will probably end in the finals of Spanish league, somewhere at the end of June. Then quick break then he has to hit the gym to bulk up (P3) and then NBA season is just around the corner.
    His first proper break in 3 years starts somewhere in May 2019. Mine starts in July 2018 and I’m not sure I’m gonna make it.

    But OK, he’s a smart dude, he always figured things out and I’m sure he’s gonna do just fine this time too. What really worries me is the bulking up part, I’ve seen some great players go through it and I’m not sure how to describe it, they came out NBA ready on the other side but their game lost the beauty somehow. Thinking Toni Kukoc here – I enjoyed his game in Europe immensely, in the NBA – not so much…

    Like

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